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3. Suppose that the members of (S) are vaccinated against the disease at a rate A proportional to the product of their numbers and the square of the members of (l). Then,dS 2- = -rSI-ASIdt ' dIdt =/(rS-y). (*)(a) Find the orbits of (*).(b) Will any susceptibles remain after the disease dies out | Sách, tạp chí |
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4. The intensity i of an epidemic is the proportion of the total number of suscept- ibles that finally contracts the disease. Show that. 10+ So- Sa;1 = - - ; : : - - -So where S 00 is a root of the equationS= Soe(S-So-lo)/p | Sách, tạp chí |
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5. Compute the intensity of the epidemic if p= 1000,1 0 = 10, and (a) So= 1100, (b) So= 1200, (c) So= 1300, (d) So= 1500, (e) So= 1800, (f) So= 1900. (This cannot be done analytically.) | Sách, tạp chí |
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6. Let Roo denote the total number of individuals who contract the disease. (a) Show that Roo = 10+ So- Soo.(b) Let R] denote the members of (R) who are removed from the population prior to the peak of the epidemic. Compute R]/ Roo for each of the values of So in Sa-Sf. Notice that most of the removals occur after the peak. This type of asymmetry is often found in actual notifications of infectious diseases | Sách, tạp chí |
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4.12 A model for the spread of gonorrhea Gonorrhea ranks first today among reportable communicable diseases in the United States. There are more reported cases of gonorrhea every year than the combined totals for syphilis, measles, mumps, and infectious hepatitis. Public health officials estimate that more than 2,500,000 Ameri- | Khác |
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