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Tiêu đề Measure The Interest Rate Risk: A Case Study Of Vietcombank
Tác giả Pham Thi Xuan Lien
Người hướng dẫn Dr. Le Thai Thuong Quan
Trường học University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City
Chuyên ngành Financial and Banking
Thể loại thesis
Năm xuất bản 2010
Thành phố Hochiminh City
Định dạng
Số trang 86
Dung lượng 2,5 MB

Cấu trúc

  • BÌA

  • ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

  • ABSTRACT

  • CONTENTS

  • ABBREVIATIONS

  • LIST OF TABLES

  • LIST OF FIGURE AND EQUATION

  • 1.1 BACKGROUND, CONTEXT AND RATIONALES FOR THERESEARCH

    • 1.2 WHY IS THE PROBLEM WORTH ADDRESSING?

    • 1.3 OBJECTIVES AND GOALS OF THE RESEARCH

    • 1.4 METHODOLOGY

    • 1.5 DATA ANALYSIS AND FINDING

    • 1.6 STUDY STRUCTURE

  • 2.1 Background

    • 2.2 Risks assumed by banks

    • 2.3 Interest rate risk

    • 2.4 The model of measuring the interest rate risk

    • 2.5 Interest rate risk management

    • 2.6 Manage interest rate risk with dollar gap

    • 2.7 Conclusion:

  • 3.1 The movement interest rate in Vietnam

    • 3.2 Interest rate policy in Vietcombank

    • 3.3 Conclusion

  • 4.1 Introduction

    • 4.2 Research design

    • 4.3 Interest rate risk exposure

    • 4.4 Balance sheet structure

    • 4.5 Gap Analysis

    • 4.6 Conclusion

  • 5.1 Conclusion

    • 5.2 Conclusion related to research questions

    • 5.3 Suggestion for hedging the gap

    • 5.4 Limitation of the research and suggest for further research

  • References

  • APPENDIX ABALANCE SHEET STRUCTURE &GAP CACULATION

  • APPENDIX BAN INTERVIEW WITH MS. PHUNG NGUYEN HAI YEN-A SENIOR OFFICER IN VIETCOMBANK ALCO

Nội dung

Why is the problem worth addressing? 2

Vietcombank, one of Vietnam's leading banks, can enhance its interest rate risk management strategy by exploring various alternatives This research will apply a practical interest rate risk measurement model tailored to specific business circumstances and market conditions during a defined period, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of the bank's interest rate risk position.

This thesis will examine the net interest income in relation to the maturity buckets of Vietcombank's assets and liabilities Based on this analysis, recommendations will be offered to enhance Vietcombank's management of interest rate risk through an optimized theoretical asset and liability structure.

1.3 OBJECTIVES AND GOALS OF THE RESEARCH

The objective of this thesis is to

1 To investigate the movement of the interest rate in financial market since 2008

2 To analyse the Vietcombank specific business practices and its interest rate risk exposure

3 To analyse the gap in Vietcombank financial statement to measure the interest rate risk that affected to the income of the bank

4 And also to find out the component of net interest income according to the maturity bucket

This thesis aims to analyze the impact of interest rate gaps on a bank's net interest income, examining the components of interest income and expenses based on maturity buckets, which are closely related to asset and liability sensitivity Key questions will be addressed throughout the study to provide a comprehensive understanding of these dynamics.

1 What are theoretically bank practices and/or solutions to deal with interest rate riks?

2 What is the extent of interest rate risk in Vietcombank? Whether or not such risk affect to its profit?

The thesis employs a case study methodology, which facilitates the generation and testing of hypotheses This approach enables the researcher to incorporate unique elements, conditions, and information specific to individuals and organizations, resulting in a more comprehensive analysis (Tellis, 1997; Kennedy and Luzar, 1999).

Robert K Yin (2005) defines case study methodology as an empirical inquiry that explores contemporary phenomena within their real-life contexts, especially when the lines between the phenomenon and the context are blurred This approach utilizes multiple sources of evidence and is particularly effective for addressing questions related to who, why, and how in management research.

The thesis necessitates a deep understanding of Vietcombank's business practices, legal requirements, and distinctive balance sheet structure, justifying the adoption of a case study methodology To facilitate a comprehensive analysis, specific practices inherent to this methodology will be employed The researcher will utilize publicly available records of Vietcombank's achievements, historical balance sheet data, and conduct interviews with senior management Additionally, interviews with various branches across the Vietcombank system will be carried out to formulate hypotheses regarding the effectiveness of certain interest rate management techniques.

This study utilizes books, scientific articles, and statistical data to enhance the understanding of Asset and Liability Management Data will be gathered from Vietcombank's annual financial statements, particularly since the interest rate volatility began in 2008 Additionally, questionnaires were developed and administered directly to interviewees to gather insights on VCB's management of assets and liabilities.

The findings not only assist in assessing the interest rate risk faced by Vietcombank but also highlight the challenges and strengths of a State-Owned Commercial Bank (SOCB) within the financial market.

On the other hands, the findings will be an evidence to manage the interest rate risk aggressively in Vietcombank

The thesis comprises five chapters: Chapter One covers the research background, defining key terms and outlining the significance and scope of the study Chapter Two focuses on the measurement and management of interest rate risk Chapter Three examines interest rate movements in Vietnam and Vietcombank's interest rate policy Chapter Four analyzes gaps in interest rate risk measurement, while Chapter Five offers solutions for managing interest rate risk and enhancing net interest income.

For centuries, banks have been essential to the financial system, adapting their roles to meet the evolving needs of the economy Commercial banks are crucial in efficiently channeling funds from savers to borrowers, offering specialized financial services that lower the costs of accessing information on savings and borrowing This efficiency contributes to a more streamlined and effective economy.

Banks serve as intermediaries connecting lenders and borrowers, and to remain competitive, they often accept client deposits with different maturities This practice can lead to changes in their balance sheet, making them more sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.

Banks typically engage in long-term lending while borrowing on a short-term basis This strategy proves advantageous when long-term interest rates exceed short-term rates As a result, banks can lend at higher rates than their borrowing costs, benefiting from the positive spread between these rates.

Besides of the traditional business in deposit and loan, nowadays bank may have developed some other functions:

 Paying a customer's cheques or drafts on it to the amount on deposit by such customers, and holding Treasury Bills and bank notes and coin for such purpose;

 Discounting commercial paper for its customers;

 Dealing in exchange and in gold and other financial instrument;

 Arranging credits for itself with banks in other towns, cities and countries;

 Selling its drafts or cheques on other banks and banking correspondents;

 Issuing letters of credit; bank guarantees,…

 Lending money to its customers on the customers' notes, by way of overdraft (or) on bonds, shares and other securities

 Make other banking services such as: transfer money, issuing credit cards and supply other banking services

The banking industry faces numerous well-documented risks, and effective risk management is crucial for its stability Despite this importance, risk quantification has only recently gained attention Comprehensive models and tools are essential for linking risk management to financial profitability, as highlighted by Bessis (2002) The recent financial failures in banking, as noted by Galai et al (1999), underscore the urgent need for robust risk management strategies Bank managers must utilize reliable risk measures to allocate capital effectively, balancing risk and return The risk management process involves identifying key risks, understanding risk measures, deciding which risks to mitigate or accept, and establishing monitoring procedures to track the overall risk position.

Banking involves the strategic management of risk, as highlighted by Gup & Kolari (2005) Banks take on risks to generate profits, requiring them to carefully evaluate various strategies based on their risk and return profiles The primary objective is to maximize shareholder wealth while maintaining this balance.

Banks acknowledge that various types of risks influence how a specific investment strategy affects shareholders, ultimately depending on its impact on the organization’s overall risk.

THEORY OF INTEREST RATE RISK AND

IT TE EC CO OM MB BA AN NK K I IN NT TE ER RE ES ST T R RA AT TE E P PO OL LI IC CY Y

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